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Evaluation of JPY/USD currency pair downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The JPY/USD currency pair price fell by -0.445% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $0.0065 to $0.0064. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.646% from a day low at $0.0064 to a day high of $0.0065. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.64% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the currency pair, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the currency pair. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -344 thousand shares and in total, 675 shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.35 .
The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -5.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.0061 and $0.0062 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
JPYUSD Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The JPY/USD currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.0065 and $0.0066. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, October 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.20%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this currency pair may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for JPY/USD currency pair
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the currency pair may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.00004161 between high and low, or 0.646%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.636%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (JPYUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect JPY/USD to open at $0.0065, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.0064 and $0.0065, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.000041981287 (+/-0.65%) up or down from last closing price. If JPY/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $0.0065, some $0.00005119 (0.79%) from the current price of $0.0064, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is JPY/USD currency pair A Buy?
JPY/USD holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.294
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $0.0065 ( 0.164%).
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JPYUSD Performance
Trading levels for JPYUSD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.0065 | 0.81% |
| R2 | 0.0065 | 0.563% |
| R1 | 0.0065 | 0.410% |
| Price | 0.0064 | |
| S1 | 0.0064 | -0.0829% |
| S2 | 0.0064 | -0.235% |
| S3 | 0.0064 | -0.482% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.0066 | 2.98% |
| R2 | 0.0066 | 2.58% |
| R1 | 0.0065 | 0.794% |
| Price | 0.0064 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
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