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Invesco KBW Property & Casualty ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Invesco KBW Property & Casualty ETF price fell by -1.05% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $123.69 to $122.39. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.47% from a day low at $122.39 to a day high of $124.19. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.51% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 10 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 17 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.10 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Invesco KBW Property & Casualty ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $112.75 and $122.62 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
KBWP Signals & Forecast
The Invesco KBW Property & Casualty ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $122.51. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $120.66. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.05%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco KBW Property & Casualty ETF
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty finds support from accumulated volume at $120.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.80 (1.47%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.87%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $118.99 (-2.78%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (KBWP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF to open at $122.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $121.63 and $123.15, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.52 (+/-1.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.25% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $122.88 (0.40%) than the support at $120.77 (1.32%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF ETF A Buy?
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.495
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $122.99 ( 0.491%).
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KBWP Performance
Trading levels for KBWP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 124.79 | 1.96% |
| R2 | 124.10 | 1.40% |
| R1 | 123.68 | 1.05% |
| Price | 122.39 | |
| S1 | 122.30 | -0.0716% |
| S2 | 121.88 | -0.419% |
| S3 | 121.19 | -0.98% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 124.10 | 1.40% |
| R2 | 123.25 | 0.701% |
| R1 | 122.88 | 0.400% |
| Price | 122.39 | |
| S1 | 120.77 | -1.32% |
| S2 | 120.60 | -1.46% |
| S3 | 115.42 | -5.70% |
KBWP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 26, 2025 | $0.374 | 0.310% |
| 2 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 27, 2025 | $0.376 | 0.311% |
| 3 | Mar 24, 2025 | Mar 24, 2025 | Mar 28, 2025 | $0.651 | 0.528% |
| 4 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | $0.779 | 0.671% |
| 5 | Sep 23, 2024 | Sep 23, 2024 | Sep 27, 2024 | $0.342 | 0.297% |
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