- Lower volatility than the market (beta -0.26)
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Bullish long-term trend in place
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF price gained 2.10% on the last trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), rising from $28.10 to $28.69. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.48% from a day low at $28.33 to a day high of $28.75. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.21% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 39 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 274 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.86 million.
The ETF lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $29.09 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $25.60 and $27.58 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
KMLM Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $27.97 and $28.14. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has risen 5.21%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy finds support from accumulated volume at $28.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.420 between high and low, or 1.48%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.98%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.34 (-4.72%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KMLM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF to open at $28.59, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.53 and $28.85, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.320 (+/-1.12%) up or down from last closing price. If KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $28.55 (0.49%) than the resistance at $29.18 (1.71%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the ETF being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
3.800
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $28.59 ( 0.349%).
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KMLM Performance
Trading levels for KMLM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.01 | 1.12% |
| R2 | 28.85 | 0.556% |
| R1 | 28.75 | 0.211% |
| Price | 28.69 | |
| S1 | 28.43 | -0.91% |
| S2 | 28.33 | -1.25% |
| S3 | 28.17 | -1.81% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.42 | 2.54% |
| R2 | 29.21 | 1.81% |
| R1 | 29.18 | 1.71% |
| Price | 28.69 | |
| S1 | 28.55 | -0.488% |
| S2 | 28.10 | -2.06% |
| S3 | 27.76 | -3.24% |
KMLM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 23, 2025 | $1.30 | 5.02% |
| 2 | Dec 16, 2024 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 18, 2024 | $0.230 | 0.81% |
| 3 | Dec 27, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $2.48 | 8.12% |
| 4 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $1.84 | 6.94% |
FAQ
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