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KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 03, 2026)
The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF price gained 0.174% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026), rising from $28.70 to $28.75. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.471% from a day low at $28.69 to a day high of $28.83. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.97% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 167 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.79 million.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $28.37 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 7.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $30.35 and $32.79 at the end of this 3-month period.
KMLM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.70%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $29.11. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $28.61. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy finds support from accumulated volume at $28.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.135 between high and low, or 0.471%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.87%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (KMLM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF to open at $28.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.57 and $28.93, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.355 (+/-1.24%) up or down from last closing price. If KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $28.55 (0.70%) than the resistance at $29.18 (1.50%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF ETF A Buy?
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.709
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $28.76 ( 0.0174%).
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KMLM Performance
Trading levels for KMLM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 28.89 | 0.487% |
| R2 | 28.84 | 0.308% |
| R1 | 28.81 | 0.197% |
| Price | 28.75 | |
| S1 | 28.70 | -0.162% |
| S2 | 28.67 | -0.273% |
| S3 | 28.62 | -0.452% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.42 | 2.33% |
| R2 | 29.21 | 1.60% |
| R1 | 29.18 | 1.50% |
| Price | 28.75 | |
| S1 | 28.55 | -0.696% |
| S2 | 28.20 | -1.91% |
| S3 | 27.41 | -4.66% |
KMLM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 23, 2025 | $1.30 | 5.02% |
| 2 | Dec 16, 2024 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 18, 2024 | $0.230 | 0.81% |
| 3 | Dec 27, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $2.48 | 8.12% |
| 4 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $1.84 | 6.94% |
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