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Red day on Monday for KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF after losing 0.188%
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF price fell by -0.188% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $26.59 to $26.54. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.586% from a day low at $26.44 to a day high of $26.59. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.34% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -38 thousand shares and in total, 72 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.90 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $26.12 and $26.97 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETF seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETF turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
KMLM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $26.64 and $26.81. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.97%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy finds support from accumulated volume at $26.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.155 between high and low, or 0.586%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.653%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (KMLM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF to open at $26.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $26.45 and $26.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.189 (+/-0.72%) up or down from last closing price. If KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $26.45 (0.34%) than the resistance at $26.95 (1.54%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF ETF A Buy?
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score:
-2.272
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $26.52 ( 0.0691%).
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KMLM Performance
Trading levels for KMLM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 26.68 | 0.515% |
| R2 | 26.62 | 0.292% |
| R1 | 26.58 | 0.154% |
| Price | 26.54 | |
| S1 | 26.46 | -0.292% |
| S2 | 26.43 | -0.430% |
| S3 | 26.37 | -0.653% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 27.26 | 2.71% |
| R2 | 27.00 | 1.73% |
| R1 | 26.95 | 1.54% |
| Price | 26.54 | |
| S1 | 26.45 | -0.339% |
| S2 | 26.34 | -0.772% |
| S3 | 26.32 | -0.83% |
KMLM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 16, 2024 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 18, 2024 | $0.230 | 0.81% |
| 2 | Dec 27, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $2.48 | 8.12% |
| 3 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $1.84 | 6.94% |
FAQ
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Buy KMLM
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Thursday, October 16, 2025 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -0.86% to $26.31 within 17 trading days (Monday, November 10, 2025) since signal was issued.