Komatsu Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -2.65%

The Komatsu Ltd. stock price fell by -2.65% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $34.31 to $33.40. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.20% from a day low at $33.40 to a day high of $33.80. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.27% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $58.15 thousand.

The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $33.11 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Komatsu Ltd. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $33.53 and $38.63 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

KMTUF Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, November 04, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.09%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Komatsu Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $34.13 and $35.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Komatsu Ltd. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Komatsu Ltd. stock

Komatsu Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $33.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.400 between high and low, or 1.20%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.46%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $31.67 (-5.18%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (KMTUF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Komatsu Ltd. to open at $33.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.49 and $34.31, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.82 (+/-5.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Komatsu Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $33.31 (0.27%) than the resistance at $35.15 (5.24%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For KMTUF

Dividend coming up for KMTUF: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 31st March, 2026) is 132 days away. The dividend is $0.670.

Is Komatsu Ltd. stock A Buy?

Komatsu Ltd. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.560 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $33.53 ( 0.399%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk