Luminar Technologies Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Feb 25, 2026 Gain 19 779.62%

The Luminar Technologies Inc stock price fell by -3.42% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $38.78 to $37.45. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.52% from a day low at $35.22 to a day high of $38.22. The price has fallen in 4 of the last 10 days but is still up by 19779.62% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 88 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 166 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.23 million.

The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $36.90 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $33.00 and $35.79 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

LAZR Signals & Forecast

The Luminar Technologies Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $34.85 and $7.12. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 30, -0001. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Luminar Technologies Inc stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.00 between high and low, or 8.52%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.10%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $1.87 (-5.00%) (Unable to calculate.)

Trading Expectations (LAZR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $38.78, some $1.33 (3.54%) from the current price of $37.45, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Luminar Technologies Inc stock A Buy?

Luminar Technologies Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $36.96 ( 1.31%).

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