Lumber Commodity Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -2.41%

The Lumber commodity price fell by -2.41% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $560.00 to $546.50. During the last trading day the commodity fluctuated 0.92% from a day low at $541.50 to a day high of $546.50. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.66% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 575 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 575 shares were bought and sold for approximately $314.24 thousand.

The commodity lies in the lower part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $531.69 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the commodity is expected to rise 2.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $543.52 and $686.63 at the end of this 3-month period.

LBUSD Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Lumber commodity holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the commodity. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $566.57 and $589.56. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 04, 2025, and so far it has fallen -7.92%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Lumber gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Lumber commodity

Lumber finds support from accumulated volume at $541.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This commodity is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the commodity moved $5.00 (0.92%) between high and low. For the last week, the commodity has had daily average volatility of 0.678%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $519.80 (-4.89%) (This commodity has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (LBUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Lumber to open at $544.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $539.48 and $553.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$14.05 (+/-2.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Lumber takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $541.00 (1.01%) than the resistance at $574.50 (5.12%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Lumber commodity A Buy?

Lumber holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $544.83 ( 0.305%).

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