Lennar Corporation Stock Forecast
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Weaker technical forecast for Lennar Corporation as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Dec 02, 2024)
The Lennar Corporation stock price fell by -0.542% on the last day (Monday, 2nd Dec 2024) from $174.39 to $173.45. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.93% from a day low at $171.74 to a day high of $175.05. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.68% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 202 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 969 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $168.07 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $148.75 and $165.38 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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LEN Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Lennar Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $173.81. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $173.01. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, November 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Lennar Corporation stock
Lennar Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $172.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.31 (1.93%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.55%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (LEN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 3rd we expect Lennar Corporation to open at $173.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $169.03 and $177.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.41 (+/-2.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Lennar Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $172.57 (0.50%) than the resistance at $178.19 (2.74%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Lennar Corporation stock A Buy?
Lennar Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.362 Sell Candidate Downgraded
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on December 3, 2024 - $173.41 ( 0.0192%).Trading levels for LEN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 176.72 | 1.89% |
R2 | 175.46 | 1.16% |
R1 | 174.68 | 0.710% |
Price | 173.45 | |
S1 | 172.15 | -0.748% |
S2 | 171.37 | -1.20% |
S3 | 170.10 | -1.93% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 182.19 | 5.04% |
R2 | 178.61 | 2.98% |
R1 | 178.19 | 2.74% |
Price | 173.45 | |
S1 | 172.57 | -0.504% |
S2 | 170.10 | -1.93% |
S3 | 168.67 | -2.75% |
LEN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 25, 2024 | Oct 09, 2024 | Oct 24, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.284% |
2 | Jul 05, 2024 | Jul 05, 2024 | Jul 19, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.293% |
3 | Apr 10, 2024 | Apr 23, 2024 | May 08, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.316% |
4 | Jan 09, 2024 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.327% |
5 | Sep 27, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | Oct 26, 2023 | $0.375 | 0.361% |
FAQ
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