Should you buy LLY stock?
Last updated:
Based on market data through , StockInvest.us rates Eli Lilly (LLY) as a Sell Candidate with a technical score of -4.07 on its -10 to +10 scale. The rating is unchanged from the previous daily evaluation.
- Sell signal since
- Price since signal Down 3.39%
- 3-month trend forecast Up 19.55%
- High gross margin of 83.5%
- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- Strong operating margin of 45.9%
Eli Lilly stock price ended at $1,116.11 on Tuesday, after losing 0.451%
(Market data through Aug 04, 2026)
The Eli Lilly stock price fell by -0.451% on the last day (Tuesday, 4th Aug 2026) from $1,121.17 to $1,116.11. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.40% from a day low at $1,109.16 to a day high of $1,135.83. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.02% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 642 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.50 billion.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 19.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,334.26 and $1,559.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
LLY Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Eli Lilly stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1,167.43 and $1,168.53. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 07, 2026, and so far it has fallen -9.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Eli Lilly stock
Eli Lilly finds support from accumulated volume at $1,107.08 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $26.67 (2.40%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.96%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (LLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 5th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 5th we expect Eli Lilly and Company to open at $1,120.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1,097.76 and $1,134.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$36.71 (+/-3.34%) up or down from last closing price. If Eli Lilly and Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1,107.08 (0.81%) than the resistance at $1,125.27 (0.82%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Dividend Warning For LLY
Dividend coming up for LLY: Ex-dividend date (Friday 14th August, 2026) is 8 days away. The dividend is $1.73.Is Eli Lilly and Company stock A Buy?
The Eli Lilly stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Eli Lilly will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score:
-4.069
Sell Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 5, 2026 - $1,120.37 ( 0.381%).
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LLY Performance
Trading levels for LLY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1,147.04 | 2.77% |
| R2 | 1,136.85 | 1.86% |
| R1 | 1,130.55 | 1.29% |
| Price | 1,116.11 | |
| S1 | 1,110.18 | -0.531% |
| S2 | 1,103.88 | -1.10% |
| S3 | 1,093.70 | -2.01% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1,131.42 | 1.37% |
| R2 | 1,127.56 | 1.03% |
| R1 | 1,125.27 | 0.82% |
| Price | 1,116.11 | |
| S1 | 1,107.08 | -0.81% |
| S2 | 1,015.93 | -8.98% |
| S3 | 948.45 | -15.02% |
LLY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 14, 2026 | Aug 14, 2026 | Sep 10, 2026 | $1.73 | 0.155% |
| 2 | May 04, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | Jun 10, 2026 | $1.73 | 0.175% |
| 3 | Feb 13, 2026 | Feb 13, 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | $1.73 | 0.174% |
| 4 | Nov 14, 2025 | Nov 14, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | $1.50 | 0.183% |
| 5 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Sep 10, 2025 | $1.50 | 0.193% |
FAQ
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