El Pollo Loco Holdings Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
El Pollo Loco Holdings stock price up more than 6.07% on Friday
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The El Pollo Loco Holdings stock price gained 6.07% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $8.40 to $8.91. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.87% from a day low at $8.43 to a day high of $8.93. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -815 thousand shares and in total, 297 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.65 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.61 and $8.97 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LOCO Signals & Forecast
The El Pollo Loco Holdings stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $8.44 and $8.82. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for El Pollo Loco Holdings stock
El Pollo Loco Holdings finds support from accumulated volume at $8.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.495 between high and low, or 5.87%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.44%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $8.58 (-3.68%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LOCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect El Pollo Loco Holdings to open at $8.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.65 and $9.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.258 (+/-2.90%) up or down from last closing price. If El Pollo Loco Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.06 (1.68%) than the support at $8.70 (2.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
El Pollo Loco Holdings will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.130. We will update the financials statements for El Pollo Loco Holdings, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.52% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is El Pollo Loco Holdings stock A Buy?
El Pollo Loco Holdings holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.214 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for El Pollo Loco Holdings of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.76 ( 1.74%) | $8.91 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LOCO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.25 | 3.82 % | |
| R2 | 9.06 | 1.69 % | ||
| R1 | 8.94 | 0.383 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.57 | -3.86 % | |
| S2 | 8.45 | -5.17 % | ||
| S3 | 8.26 | -7.30 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.74 | 9.32 % | |
| R2 | 9.17 | 2.92 % | ||
| R1 | 9.06 | 1.68 % | ||
| Current price | 8.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.70 | -2.36% | |
| S2 | 8.46 | -5.05% | ||
| S3 | 8.40 | -5.72% |
LOCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 14, 2022 | Oct 21, 2022 | Nov 09, 2022 | $1.50 | 14.15% |
FAQ
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