El Pollo Loco Holdings Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.230 |
| EPS actual | $0.270 |
| EPS Surprise | 17.39% |
| Revenue estimate | 123.596M |
| Revenue actual | 121.52M |
| Revenue Surprise | -1.68% |
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.250 |
| EPS actual | $0.280 |
| EPS Surprise | 12.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 124.81M |
| Revenue actual | 125.834M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.82% |
| Release date | May 01, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.200 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| EPS Surprise | -5.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 118.204M |
| Revenue actual | 119.177M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.82% |
| Release date | Mar 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.140 |
| EPS actual | $0.200 |
| EPS Surprise | 42.86% |
| Revenue estimate | 113.188M |
| Revenue actual | 114.284M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.97% |
Last 4 Quarters for El Pollo Loco Holdings
Below you can see how LOCO performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Mar 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $10.63 |
| EPS estimate | $0.140 |
| EPS actual | $0.200 |
| EPS surprise | 42.86% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | $11.28 |
| Mar 03, 2025 | $10.93 |
| Mar 04, 2025 | $10.79 |
| Mar 05, 2025 | $10.53 |
| Mar 06, 2025 | $10.63 |
| Mar 07, 2025 | $10.62 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $10.42 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | $10.60 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $10.51 |
| 4 days before | -5.76% |
| 4 days after | -1.13% |
| On release day | -0.0941% |
| Change in period | -6.83% |
| Release date | May 01, 2025 |
| Price on release | $9.43 |
| EPS estimate | $0.200 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| EPS surprise | -5.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | $9.66 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $9.39 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $9.37 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $9.35 |
| May 01, 2025 | $9.43 |
| May 02, 2025 | $9.08 |
| May 05, 2025 | $8.89 |
| May 06, 2025 | $8.97 |
| May 07, 2025 | $8.88 |
| 4 days before | -2.38% |
| 4 days after | -5.83% |
| On release day | -3.71% |
| Change in period | -8.07% |
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Price on release | $10.30 |
| EPS estimate | $0.250 |
| EPS actual | $0.280 |
| EPS surprise | 12.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | $10.77 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $10.65 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $10.60 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $10.63 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $10.30 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $10.45 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $10.49 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $10.28 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $10.24 |
| 4 days before | -4.36% |
| 4 days after | -0.583% |
| On release day | 1.46% |
| Change in period | -4.92% |
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $9.06 |
| EPS estimate | $0.230 |
| EPS actual | $0.270 |
| EPS surprise | 17.39% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | $9.46 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $9.76 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $9.55 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $9.51 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $9.06 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $10.22 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $10.30 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $10.53 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $10.64 |
| 4 days before | -4.23% |
| 4 days after | 17.44% |
| On release day | 12.80% |
| Change in period | 12.47% |
El Pollo Loco Holdings Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
El Pollo Loco reported modest revenue growth with clear operational momentum in Q3 2025: system revenue was $121.5M (vs. $120.4M YoY), company-operated sales were slightly down (-0.5%) but system-wide traffic grew +1.6% (franchise traffic +2.5%). Management highlighted positive comparable trends into October (Q4-to-date comp +2.2%) and emphasized that marketing, menu innovation (notably quesadillas, new bowls, upcoming tenders and a fire-fried sandwich) and operational improvements drove positive traffic while protecting margins. Restaurant-level contribution margin expanded to 18.3% (up 160 bps YoY); full-year restaurant margin guidance is 17.5%–17.75% with a longer-term target of 18%–20%. Unit growth accelerated: the company opened its 500th restaurant, finished 34 remodels YTD with at least 55 planned for 2025, and expects to open at least 10 restaurants in 2025 with plans to nearly double development pace in 2026 (company and franchise-backed). Digital sales are growing (digital = 27% of system sales, loyalty transactions +28% YoY) and kiosk rollouts are ~50% systemwide. Cost dynamics: food & paper improved (24.7% of company restaurant sales, aided by ~100 bps commodity deflation in Q3), labor improved (30.4% of sales), and commodity exposure is manageable with chicken contracts favorable for next year. Liquidity: $61M debt and $10.9M cash at quarter end, with subsequent revolver paydown to $55M. 2025 guidance highlights: at least 10 openings, capex $28M–$30M, G&A $47.5M–$49.5M (ex-ones), and an effective tax rate ~29%–29.25%. Key risks noted include macro demand softness, regional headwinds (California) and execution risks on new openings/remodel sequencing.
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