MBIA Inc Stock Forecast
Red day on Tuesday for MBIA Inc
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The MBIA Inc stock price fell by -1.89% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $5.29 to $5.19. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.58% from a day low at $5.02 to a day high of $5.30. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.49% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 451 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 784 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.07 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.86% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.00 and $4.93 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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MBI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 11, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.387%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The MBIA Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $5.38 and $5.60. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MBIA Inc stock
MBIA Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $5.17 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.280 between high and low, or 5.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.78%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MBI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect MBIA Inc to open at $5.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.95 and $5.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.239 (+/-4.61%) up or down from last closing price. If MBIA Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $5.17 (0.39%) than the resistance at $5.69 (9.63%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is MBIA Inc stock A Buy?
MBIA Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.696 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for MBIA Inc of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $5.17 ( 0.385%) | $5.19 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MBI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 5.45 | 5.01% |
| R2 | 5.34 | 2.95% |
| R1 | 5.28 | 1.68% |
| Price | 5.19 | |
| S1 | 5.06 | -2.45% |
| S2 | 5.00 | -3.72% |
| S3 | 4.89 | -5.78% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.29 | 21.19% |
| R2 | 5.96 | 14.84% |
| R1 | 5.69 | 9.63% |
| Price | 5.19 | |
| S1 | 5.17 | -0.385% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
MBI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | $8.00 | 119.94% |
| 2 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $8.00 | 56.38% |
| 3 | Dec 06, 2007 | Dec 19, 2007 | Jan 15, 2008 | $0.340 | 2.12% |
| 4 | Sep 06, 2007 | Sep 19, 2007 | Oct 15, 2007 | $0.340 | 0.521% |
| 5 | Jun 07, 2007 | Jun 20, 2007 | Jul 16, 2007 | $0.340 | 0.561% |
FAQ
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