Mcdonalds Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Aug 05, 2026 Gain 0.18%

The McDonalds stock price fell by -0.644% on the last day (Friday, 7th Aug 2026) from $276.26 to $274.48. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.31% from a day low at $273.29 to a day high of $276.87. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.67% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 695 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.35 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $248.31 and $269.66 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

MCD Signals & Forecast

The McDonalds stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $271.06 and $271.15. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, August 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.644%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for McDonalds stock

McDonalds finds support from accumulated volume at $269.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.58 between high and low, or 1.31%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.49%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $266.07 (-3.06%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (MCD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 10th we expect McDonald's Corporation to open at $274.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $271.56 and $277.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.83 (+/-2.15%) up or down from last closing price. If McDonald's Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.15% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $274.60 (0.04%) than the support at $269.76 (1.72%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For MCD

Dividend coming up for MCD: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 1st September, 2026) is 21 days away. The dividend is $1.86.

Is McDonald's Corporation stock A Buy?

McDonalds holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.105 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 10, 2026 - $274.88 ( 0.146%).

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