Mercadolibre Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 22, 2026 Gain 1.19%

The MercadoLibre stock price fell by -0.509% on the last day (Friday, 7th Aug 2026) from $1,830.00 to $1,820.69. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.84% from a day low at $1,800.01 to a day high of $1,851.19. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -712 thousand shares and in total, 489 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $889.49 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2,100.03 and $2,319.63 at the end of this 3-month period.

MELI Signals & Forecast

The MercadoLibre stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $1,874.89. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $1,791.91. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, August 05, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MercadoLibre stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $1,632.52 and $1,562.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, MercadoLibre finds support just below today's level at $1,632.52. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $1,562.00 and $1,557.30.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $51.18 between high and low, or 2.84%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.69%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $1,712.40 (-5.95%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MELI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 10th we expect MercadoLibre Inc. to open at $1,823.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1,790.65 and $1,850.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$60.08 (+/-3.36%) up or down from last closing price. If MercadoLibre Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1,830.00 (0.51%) than the support at $1,632.52 (10.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is MercadoLibre Inc. stock A Buy?

MercadoLibre holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.938 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 10, 2026 - $1,823.96 ( 0.180%).

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