Medallion Financial Corp. Stock Forecast
Medallion Financial Corp. stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Medallion Financial Corp. stock price fell by -1.37% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $8.02 to $7.91. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.31% from a day low at $7.80 to a day high of $7.98. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.33% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 thousand shares and in total, 40 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $313.74 thousand.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $8.21 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.96 and $6.44 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
MFIN Signals & Forecast
The Medallion Financial Corp. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $7.95. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $7.84. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, March 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.36%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Medallion Financial Corp. stock
Medallion Financial Corp. finds support from accumulated volume at $7.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.180 between high and low, or 2.31%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $7.53 (-4.77%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 27 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MFIN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Medallion Financial Corp. to open at $7.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.58 and $8.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.330 (+/-4.18%) up or down from last closing price. If Medallion Financial Corp. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $7.87 (0.51%) than the resistance at $8.01 (1.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Medallion Financial Corp. will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.350. We will update the financials statements for Medallion Financial Corp., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.57% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Medallion Financial Corp. stock A Buy?
Medallion Financial Corp. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.852 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Medallion Financial Corp. of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$7.90 ( 0.169%) | $7.91 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MFIN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 8.08 | 2.11 % | |
R2 | 8.01 | 1.24 % | ||
R1 | 7.97 | 0.701 % | ||
Current price: | 7.91 | |||
Support | S1 | 7.83 | -1.04 % | |
S2 | 7.79 | -1.57 % | ||
S3 | 7.72 | -2.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 9.83 | 24.27 % | |
R2 | 8.07 | 2.02 % | ||
R1 | 8.01 | 1.26 % | ||
Current price | 7.91 | |||
Support | S1 | 7.87 | -0.506% | |
S2 | 7.66 | -3.16% | ||
S3 | 7.30 | -7.71% |
MFIN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.100 | 1.26% |
2 | Oct 24, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | $0.100 | 1.05% |
3 | Jul 20, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.95% |
4 | Apr 26, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | May 31, 2023 | $0.0800 | 1.26% |
5 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.0800 | 1.04% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Medallion Financial Corp. Stock.