MGP Ingredients Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for MGP Ingredients stock after gaining 1.72%
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The MGP Ingredients stock price gained 1.72% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $79.18 to $80.54. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.29% from a day low at $79.19 to a day high of $81.00. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.79% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -50 thousand shares and in total, 165 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.29 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.01% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $66.92 and $77.07 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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MGPI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.79%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The MGP Ingredients stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $81.80. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $79.56. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Friday, April 12, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 9.45% to $88.15 within 33 trading days since signal was issued (Monday, April 29, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MGP Ingredients stock
MGP Ingredients finds support from accumulated volume at $79.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.81 between high and low, or 2.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.82%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MGPI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect MGP Ingredients to open at $80.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $78.13 and $82.95, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.41 (+/-2.99%) up or down from last closing price. If MGP Ingredients takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $80.88 (0.42%) than the support at $79.75 (0.98%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
MGP Ingredients will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.00. We will update the financials statements for MGP Ingredients, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 10.37% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is MGP Ingredients stock A Buy?
MGP Ingredients holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.178 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for MGP Ingredients of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $80.24 ( 0.368%) | $80.54 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MGPI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 82.05 | 1.88 % | |
| R2 | 81.36 | 1.02 % | ||
| R1 | 80.93 | 0.490 % | ||
| Current price: | 80.54 | |||
| Support | S1 | 79.55 | -1.23 % | |
| S2 | 79.12 | -1.76 % | ||
| S3 | 78.43 | -2.62 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 85.18 | 5.76 % | |
| R2 | 83.79 | 4.04 % | ||
| R1 | 80.88 | 0.422 % | ||
| Current price | 80.54 | |||
| Support | S1 | 79.75 | -0.98% | |
| S2 | 78.18 | -2.93% | ||
| S3 | 77.81 | -3.39% |
MGPI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | $0 | 0% |
| 2 | Nov 02, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.135% |
| 3 | Aug 06, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.101% |
| 4 | May 04, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.119% |
| 5 | May 27, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.127% |
FAQ
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