UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF price fell by -0.92% on the last day (Friday, 10th May 2024) from $24.06 to $23.84. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.336% from a day low at $23.80 to a day high of $23.88. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.42% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 5 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $162.49 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.88 and $26.02 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MLPB Signals & Forecast
The UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $23.77 and $23.74. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.92%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, May 06, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, May 06, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF
UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure finds support from accumulated volume at $23.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0800 between high and low, or 0.336%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.463%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $23.07 (-3.23%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MLPB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETN Series B to open at $23.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.61 and $24.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.230 (+/-0.96%) up or down from last closing price. If UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETN Series B takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $23.85 (0.04%) than the support at $23.70 (0.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETN Series B ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.030 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETN Series B of Monday, May 13, 2024
Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$23.84 ( 0%) | $23.84 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MLPB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 23.92 | 0.336 % | |
R2 | 23.89 | 0.207 % | ||
R1 | 23.87 | 0.128 % | ||
Current price: | 23.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 23.81 | -0.128 % | |
S2 | 23.79 | -0.207 % | ||
S3 | 23.76 | -0.336 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.04 | 0.84 % | |
R2 | 23.88 | 0.168 % | ||
R1 | 23.85 | 0.0419 % | ||
Current price | 23.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 23.70 | -0.587% | |
S2 | 23.67 | -0.711% | ||
S3 | 23.47 | -1.54% |
MLPB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 22, 2024 | $0.358 | 1.52% |
2 | Jan 12, 2024 | Jan 12, 2024 | Jan 24, 2024 | $0.363 | 1.68% |
3 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.356 | 1.69% |
4 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 24, 2023 | $0.370 | 1.80% |
5 | Jul 11, 2023 | Apr 12, 2023 | Apr 21, 2023 | $0.327 | 1.72% |
FAQ
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