MediciNova Stock Forecast
Green day on Monday for MediciNova
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The MediciNova stock price gained 0.763% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th May 2024), rising from $1.31 to $1.32. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.34% from a day low at $1.31 to a day high of $1.38. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.49% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 thousand shares and in total, 16 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.69 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1.29 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.53% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.33 and $1.62 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MNOV Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The MediciNova stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $1.41. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $1.31. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.33%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MediciNova stock
MediciNova finds support from accumulated volume at $1.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 5.34%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.30%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.25 (-5.24%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MNOV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect MediciNova to open at $1.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.25 and $1.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0679 (+/-5.14%) up or down from last closing price. If MediciNova takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.30 (1.52%) than the resistance at $1.35 (2.27%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
MediciNova will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 09, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.0500. We will update the financials statements for MediciNova, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.03% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is MediciNova stock A Buy?
MediciNova holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.959 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for MediciNova of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1.34 ( 1.26%) | $1.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MNOV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.41 | 6.57 % | |
| R2 | 1.38 | 4.54 % | ||
| R1 | 1.36 | 3.29 % | ||
| Current price: | 1.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.31 | -0.763 % | |
| S2 | 1.29 | -2.01 % | ||
| S3 | 1.27 | -4.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.47 | 11.36 % | |
| R2 | 1.36 | 3.03 % | ||
| R1 | 1.35 | 2.27 % | ||
| Current price | 1.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.30 | -1.52% | |
| S2 | 1.29 | -2.27% | ||
| S3 | 1.28 | -3.03% |
FAQ
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