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iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF price fell by -2.22% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $321.77 to $314.63. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.61% from a day low at $313.05 to a day high of $318.11. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.41% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 160 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $394.77 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 21.10% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $381.02 and $435.48 at the end of this 3-month period.
MTUM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $317.59 and $321.95. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 22, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor finds support from accumulated volume at $312.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $5.06 between high and low, or 1.61%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.01%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $301.03 (-4.32%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MTUM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF to open at $315.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $309.18 and $320.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$10.90 (+/-3.52%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $314.65 (0.01%) than the support at $312.44 (0.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.345
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $315.26 ( 0.201%).
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MTUM Performance
Trading levels for MTUM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 320.32 | 1.81% |
| R2 | 318.39 | 1.19% |
| R1 | 317.19 | 0.81% |
| Price | 314.63 | |
| S1 | 313.33 | -0.413% |
| S2 | 312.14 | -0.792% |
| S3 | 310.21 | -1.41% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 342.83 | 8.96% |
| R2 | 316.53 | 0.604% |
| R1 | 314.65 | 0.0064% |
| Price | 314.63 | |
| S1 | 312.44 | -0.696% |
| S2 | 311.63 | -0.95% |
| S3 | 299.59 | -4.78% |
MTUM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $0.358 | 0.107% |
| 2 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | $0.221 | 0.0891% |
| 3 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $0.671 | 0.277% |
| 4 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | $0.604 | 0.238% |
| 5 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.471 | 0.205% |
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