Micron Stock Forecast
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Weaker technical forecast for Micron as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Dec 02, 2024)
The Micron stock price gained 0.613% on the last trading day (Monday, 2nd Dec 2024), rising from $97.95 to $98.55. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.61% from a day low at $97.53 to a day high of $100.08. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 15 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.49 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $98.18 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $111.97 and $133.51 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MU Signals & Forecast
Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Micron stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $100.91 and $104.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, November 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -13.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Micron stock
Micron finds support from accumulated volume at $95.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.55 between high and low, or 2.61%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.25%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MU) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 3rd we expect Micron Technology to open at $98.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $94.96 and $102.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.59 (+/-3.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Micron Technology takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $95.77 (2.82%) than the resistance at $103.71 (5.24%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Micron Technology stock A Buy?
The Micron stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Micron will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.635 Sell Candidate Downgraded
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on December 3, 2024 - $98.72 ( 0.173%).Trading levels for MU
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 101.27 | 2.76% |
R2 | 100.30 | 1.77% |
R1 | 99.69 | 1.16% |
Price | 98.55 | |
S1 | 97.75 | -0.82% |
S2 | 97.14 | -1.43% |
S3 | 96.17 | -2.42% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 109.88 | 11.50% |
R2 | 107.50 | 9.08% |
R1 | 103.71 | 5.24% |
Price | 98.55 | |
S1 | 95.77 | -2.82% |
S2 | 90.90 | -7.76% |
S3 | 87.21 | -11.51% |
MU Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 25, 2024 | Oct 07, 2024 | Oct 23, 2024 | $0.115 | 0.109% |
2 | Jun 26, 2024 | Jul 08, 2024 | Jul 23, 2024 | $0.115 | 0.101% |
3 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 16, 2024 | $0.115 | 0.0944% |
4 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 18, 2024 | $0.115 | 0.136% |
5 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | Jan 18, 2024 | $0.115 | 0.136% |
FAQ
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