- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Strong return on equity of 89.5%
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.30)
Murphy USA Inc stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Strong Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session
(Updated on Jun 18, 2026)
The Murphy USA Inc stock price fell by -3.60% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026) from $571.87 to $551.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.33% from a day low at $541.51 to a day high of $570.37. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 344 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 591 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $325.54 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 18.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $623.82 and $743.36 at the end of this 3-month period.
MUSA Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Murphy USA Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $590.96 and $564.32. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 12, 2026, and so far it has fallen -11.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Murphy USA Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $517.64 and $514.45. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Murphy USA Inc finds support just below today's level at $517.64. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $514.45 and $499.06.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $28.87 between high and low, or 5.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.30%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MUSA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Murphy USA Inc to open at $554.38, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $539.48 and $563.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$23.56 (+/-4.37%) up or down from last closing price. If Murphy USA Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $517.64 (6.10%) than the resistance at $588.00 (6.66%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Murphy USA Inc stock A Buy?
The Murphy USA Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Murphy USA Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score:
-5.992
Strong Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $554.38 ( 0.566%).
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MUSA Performance
Trading levels for MUSA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 583.24 | 5.80% |
| R2 | 572.22 | 3.80% |
| R1 | 565.40 | 2.57% |
| Price | 551.26 | |
| S1 | 543.35 | -1.43% |
| S2 | 536.54 | -2.67% |
| S3 | 525.51 | -4.67% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 622.07 | 12.85% |
| R2 | 612.16 | 11.05% |
| R1 | 588.00 | 6.66% |
| Price | 551.26 | |
| S1 | 517.64 | -6.10% |
| S2 | 514.45 | -6.68% |
| S3 | 499.06 | -9.47% |
MUSA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 07, 2026 | May 18, 2026 | Jun 01, 2026 | $0.640 | 0.111% |
| 2 | Feb 12, 2026 | Feb 23, 2026 | Mar 05, 2026 | $0.630 | 0.164% |
| 3 | Nov 10, 2025 | Nov 10, 2025 | Dec 01, 2025 | $0.630 | 0.173% |
| 4 | Aug 14, 2025 | Aug 25, 2025 | Sep 04, 2025 | $0.530 | 0.136% |
| 5 | May 01, 2025 | May 12, 2025 | Jun 02, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.110% |
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