Murphy Usa Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 01, 2026 Gain 5.62%

The Murphy USA Inc stock price gained 0.94% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $584.74 to $590.23. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.57% from a day low at $583.46 to a day high of $598.47. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.7% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -58 thousand shares and in total, 192 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $113.08 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $563.52 and $681.87 at the end of this 3-month period.

MUSA Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.73%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The Murphy USA Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $577.15 and $554.70. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Murphy USA Inc stock

Murphy USA Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $588.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $15.01 between high and low, or 2.57%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.93%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $565.42 (-4.20%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MUSA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Murphy USA Inc to open at $590.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $579.58 and $600.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$21.30 (+/-3.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Murphy USA Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $588.00 (0.38%) than the resistance at $606.81 (2.81%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Murphy USA Inc stock A Buy?

Murphy USA Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.968 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $590.72 ( 0.0827%).

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