Novacyt S.a Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Novacyt S.a. stock price fell by -0.472% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from 39.03p to 38.85p. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.56% from a day low at 38.10p to a day high of 40.60p. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.6% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 17 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 659.44p thousand.

The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at 38.38p will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Novacyt S.a. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 38.14p and 41.86p at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

NCYT.L Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, November 13, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.17%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Novacyt S.a. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 39.36p and 40.44p. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Novacyt S.a. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Novacyt S.a. stock

Novacyt S.a. finds support from accumulated volume at 38.80p and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 2.50p (6.56%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.67%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 37.00p (-4.76%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NCYT.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Novacyt S.a. to open at 39.18p, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 37.88p and 39.82p, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-1.94p (+/-5.12%) up or down from last closing price. If Novacyt S.a. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 38.80p (0.13%) than the resistance at 40.00p (2.96%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Novacyt S.a. stock A Buy?

Novacyt S.a. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.604 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 39.18p ( 0.86%).

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