National Grid plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Monday for National Grid plc stock after losing 0.703%
(Updated on Jun 17, 2024)
The National Grid plc stock price fell by -0.703% on the last day (Monday, 17th Jun 2024) from £882.00 to £875.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.67% from a day low at £871.60 to a day high of £886.19. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.75% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 26 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 39 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £34.55 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.61% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £684.32 and £922.94 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
NG.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, May 29, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.46%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The National Grid plc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at £986.56. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at £872.49. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Grid plc stock
National Grid plc finds support from accumulated volume at £872.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £14.59 between high and low, or 1.67%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.98%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect National Grid plc to open at £877.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £847.41 and £904.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£28.39 (+/-3.24%) up or down from last closing price. If National Grid plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £872.80 (0.34%) than the resistance at £882.40 (0.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is National Grid plc stock A Buy?
National Grid plc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.264 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for National Grid plc of Tuesday, June 18, 2024
| Fair opening price June 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £877.86 ( 0.236%) | £875.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 892.46 | 1.90% |
| R2 | 886.88 | 1.27% |
| R1 | 883.44 | 0.87% |
| Price | 875.80 | |
| S1 | 872.29 | -0.401% |
| S2 | 868.85 | -0.794% |
| S3 | 863.27 | -1.43% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 923.71 | 5.47% |
| R2 | 886.00 | 1.16% |
| R1 | 882.40 | 0.754% |
| Price | 875.80 | |
| S1 | 872.80 | -0.343% |
| S2 | 843.00 | -3.75% |
| S3 | 838.40 | -4.27% |
NG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 06, 2024 | Jun 06, 2024 | Jul 19, 2024 | £39.12 | 4.47% |
| 2 | Nov 23, 2023 | Nov 23, 2023 | Nov 23, 2023 | £19.40 | 2.10% |
| 3 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | £37.60 | 3.88% |
| 4 | Nov 10, 2022 | Nov 24, 2022 | Jan 11, 2023 | £17.84 | 1.89% |
| 5 | May 19, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | Aug 17, 2022 | £33.76 | 3.15% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy National Grid plc Stock.
