Nightcap Plc Stock Forecast
Is Nightcap Plc stock still a buy after falling -5.88% on Friday?
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The Nightcap Plc stock price fell by -5.88% on the last day (Friday, 10th May 2024) from £4.25 to £4.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.98% from a day low at £4.00 to a day high of £4.36. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.61% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 28 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 28 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £112.46 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £2.77 and £3.62 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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NGHT.L Signals & Forecast
The Nightcap Plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £4.20. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £3.97. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.88%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Nightcap Plc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Nightcap Plc stock
Nightcap Plc finds support from accumulated volume at £3.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £0.359 between high and low, or 8.98%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.30%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £3.81 (-4.76%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (NGHT.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Nightcap Plc to open at £4.12, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £3.63 and £4.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.370 (+/-9.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Nightcap Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 18.50% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £3.95 (1.25%) than the resistance at £4.15 (3.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Nightcap Plc stock A Buy?
Nightcap Plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Nightcap Plc of Monday, May 13, 2024
Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
£4.12 ( 2.99%) | £4.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NGHT.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 4.48 | 11.97 % | |
R2 | 4.34 | 8.54 % | ||
R1 | 4.26 | 6.42 % | ||
Current price: | 4.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.98 | -0.437 % | |
S2 | 3.90 | -2.55 % | ||
S3 | 3.76 | -5.98 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 4.50 | 12.50 % | |
R2 | 4.40 | 10.00 % | ||
R1 | 4.15 | 3.75 % | ||
Current price | 4.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.95 | -1.25% | |
S2 | 3.92 | -2.10% | ||
S3 | 3.85 | -3.75% |
FAQ
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