Nl Industries Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 10, 2025 Loss -8.90%

The NL Industries Inc stock price fell by -4.74% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $5.48 to $5.22. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.39% from a day low at $5.22 to a day high of $5.35. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.53% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 41 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $216.37 thousand.

The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($5.42) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $4.89 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.

NL Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NL Industries Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $5.60 and $5.87. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, October 24, 2025, and so far it has fallen -15.26%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). NL Industries Inc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NL Industries Inc stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.125 between high and low, or 2.39%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (NL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect NL Industries Inc to open at $5.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.10 and $5.34, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.249 (+/-4.89%) up or down from last closing price. If NL Industries Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $5.74, some $0.520 (9.96%) from the current price of $5.22, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For NL

Dividend warning for NL: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 2 days on Friday 21st November, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.0900, which is a moderate dividend (1.72%). The stock is expected to open approximately 1.72% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is NL Industries Inc stock A Buy?

NL Industries Inc holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.277 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $5.26 ( 0.798%).

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