- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Consistently positive technical signals over the last month
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.60)
Weaker technical forecast for ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF price fell by -0.663% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $57.31 to $56.93. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.26% from a day low at $56.79 to a day high of $58.07. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.35% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 60 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $62.03 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $59.24 and $62.38 at the end of this 3-month period.
NOBL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.35%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $56.65 and $55.59. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats finds support from accumulated volume at $56.16 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.29 between high and low, or 2.26%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.54%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $55.13 (-3.17%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NOBL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF to open at $57.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $56.56 and $57.30, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.750 (+/-1.33%) up or down from last closing price. If ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $56.96 (0.04%) than the support at $56.16 (1.35%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF ETF A Buy?
ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.637
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $57.26 ( 0.583%).
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NOBL Performance
Trading levels for NOBL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 58.55 | 2.84% |
| R2 | 58.06 | 1.98% |
| R1 | 57.75 | 1.44% |
| Price | 56.93 | |
| S1 | 56.77 | -0.280% |
| S2 | 56.47 | -0.81% |
| S3 | 55.98 | -1.67% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 57.71 | 1.37% |
| R2 | 57.51 | 1.02% |
| R1 | 56.96 | 0.0439% |
| Price | 56.93 | |
| S1 | 56.16 | -1.35% |
| S2 | 55.33 | -2.81% |
| S3 | 53.32 | -6.34% |
NOBL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 24, 2026 | Jun 24, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.304 | 0.544% |
| 2 | Mar 25, 2026 | Mar 25, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.512 | 0.486% |
| 3 | Dec 24, 2025 | Dec 24, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.661 | 0.629% |
| 4 | Jan 20, 2025 | Sep 24, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.549 | 0.540% |
| 5 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | $0.550 | 0.537% |
FAQ
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