Norske Skog ASA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Norske Skog ASA stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 16, 2024)
The Norske Skog ASA stock price fell by -1.68% on the last day (Thursday, 16th May 2024) from kr40.56 to kr39.88. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.92% from a day low at kr39.76 to a day high of kr40.92. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.75% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -179 thousand shares and in total, 119 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr4.76 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at kr40.60 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.30% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr36.96 and kr43.16 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NSKOG.OL Signals & Forecast
The Norske Skog ASA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at kr39.07 and kr36.24. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.68%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Norske Skog ASA stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at kr36.68 and kr36.16. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Norske Skog ASA finds support just below today's level at kr36.68. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at kr36.16 and kr33.36.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved kr1.16 between high and low, or 2.92%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.45%.
Our recommended stop-loss: kr38.07 (-4.54%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (NSKOG.OL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Norske Skog ASA to open at kr40.19, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr38.67 and kr41.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr1.21 (+/-3.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Norske Skog ASA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr40.10 (0.55%) than the support at kr36.68 (8.02%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Norske Skog ASA stock A Buy?
Norske Skog ASA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.207 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Norske Skog ASA of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| kr40.19 ( 0.769%) | kr39.88 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NSKOG.OL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 41.35 | 3.68 % | |
| R2 | 40.90 | 2.57 % | ||
| R1 | 40.63 | 1.88 % | ||
| Current price: | 39.88 | |||
| Support | S1 | 39.74 | -0.342 % | |
| S2 | 39.47 | -1.03 % | ||
| S3 | 39.03 | -2.14 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 40.56 | 1.71 % | ||
| R1 | 40.10 | 0.552 % | ||
| Current price | 39.88 | |||
| Support | S1 | 36.68 | -8.02% | |
| S2 | 36.16 | -9.33% | ||
| S3 | 33.36 | -16.35% |
NSKOG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | kr0.670 | 1.63% |
| 2 | Aug 25, 2020 | Aug 31, 2020 | Sep 07, 2020 | kr3.00 | 10.73% |
| 3 | Feb 06, 2020 | Apr 17, 2020 | Apr 24, 2020 | kr3.25 | 11.75% |
FAQ
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