NetScout Systems Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Weaker technical forecast for NetScout Systems as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The NetScout Systems stock price fell by -0.84% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $20.26 to $20.09. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.08% from a day low at $20.04 to a day high of $20.66. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 3.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 160 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 468 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.41 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.89 and $20.72 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NTCT Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.07%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The NetScout Systems stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $20.42. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $19.86. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NetScout Systems stock
NetScout Systems finds support from accumulated volume at $20.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.617 (3.08%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.97%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NTCT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect NetScout Systems to open at $20.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.51 and $20.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.579 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If NetScout Systems takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $20.00 (0.45%) than the resistance at $20.83 (3.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
NetScout Systems will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 09, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.530. We will update the financials statements for NetScout Systems, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 7.45% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is NetScout Systems stock A Buy?
NetScout Systems holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.628 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for NetScout Systems of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $20.26 ( 0.86%) | $20.09 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NTCT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 20.88 | 3.93 % | |
| R2 | 20.64 | 2.76 % | ||
| R1 | 20.50 | 2.03 % | ||
| Current price: | 20.09 | |||
| Support | S1 | 20.03 | -0.315 % | |
| S2 | 19.88 | -1.04 % | ||
| S3 | 19.65 | -2.21 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 23.73 | 18.12 % | |
| R2 | 22.42 | 11.60 % | ||
| R1 | 20.83 | 3.68 % | ||
| Current price | 20.09 | |||
| Support | S1 | 20.00 | -0.448% | |
| S2 | 19.90 | -0.95% | ||
| S3 | 19.43 | -3.29% |
FAQ
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