Nucor Stock Forecast
Nucor stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Nucor stock price gained 1.99% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $170.52 to $173.92. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.06% from a day low at $171.10 to a day high of $174.63. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -9.11% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -195 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $177.43 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $168.42 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Nucor stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $166.55 and $198.01 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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NUE Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Nucor stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $189.63. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $172.59. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.20%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Nucor stock
Nucor finds support from accumulated volume at $172.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.53 between high and low, or 2.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NUE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Nucor Corporation to open at $173.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $169.17 and $178.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.75 (+/-2.73%) up or down from last closing price. If Nucor Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $174.64 (0.41%) than the support at $172.76 (0.67%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Nucor Corporation stock A Buy?
Nucor holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.818 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Nucor Corporation of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $173.22 ( 0.405%) | $173.92 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NUE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 176.74 | 1.62 % | |
| R2 | 175.39 | 0.85 % | ||
| R1 | 174.56 | 0.369 % | ||
| Current price: | 173.92 | |||
| Support | S1 | 171.87 | -1.18 % | |
| S2 | 171.04 | -1.66 % | ||
| S3 | 169.69 | -2.43 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 188.48 | 8.37 % | |
| R2 | 175.88 | 1.13 % | ||
| R1 | 174.64 | 0.414 % | ||
| Current price | 173.92 | |||
| Support | S1 | 172.76 | -0.667% | |
| S2 | 170.52 | -1.95% | ||
| S3 | 168.53 | -3.10% |
NUE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 20, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | $0.540 | 0.310% |
| 2 | Feb 20, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | $0.540 | 0.310% |
| 3 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Feb 09, 2024 | $0.540 | 0.289% |
| 4 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | $0.510 | 0.337% |
| 5 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Aug 11, 2023 | $0.510 | 0.306% |
FAQ
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