Nzd/hkd Currency Pair Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 13, 2025 Gain 0.13%

The NZD/HKD currency pair price fell by -0.333% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from HK$4.41 to HK$4.40. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.0837% from a day low at HK$4.40 to a day high of HK$4.40. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.79% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the currency pair, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the currency pair. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -43 thousand shares and in total, 637 shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$2.80 thousand.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -4.93% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$4.14 and HK$4.28 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

NZDHKD Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 07, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.590%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The NZD/HKD currency pair holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the currency pair giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$4.45. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the short-term average at HK$4.40. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this currency pair may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NZD/HKD currency pair

NZD/HKD finds support from accumulated volume at HK$4.39 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved HK$0.0037 between high and low, or 0.0837%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.313%

Our recommended stop-loss: HK$4.12 (-6.25%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NZDHKD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect NZD/HKD to open at HK$4.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$4.39 and HK$4.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0226 (+/-0.52%) up or down from last closing price. If NZD/HKD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$4.39 (0.13%) than the resistance at HK$4.58 (3.99%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is NZD/HKD currency pair A Buy?

NZD/HKD holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.775 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - HK$4.40 ( 0.0192%).

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