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NZD/USD currency pair downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The NZD/USD currency pair price fell by -0.398% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $0.568 to $0.566. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.124% from a day low at $0.565 to a day high of $0.566. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.86% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the currency pair, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the currency pair. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -153 thousand shares and in total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.09 thousand.
The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -4.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.536 and $0.555 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
NZDUSD Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 07, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.558%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The NZD/USD currency pair holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the currency pair giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $0.572. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the short-term average at $0.566. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this currency pair may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NZD/USD currency pair
NZD/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $0.564 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0007 between high and low, or 0.124%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.286%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NZDUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect NZD/USD to open at $0.566, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.565 and $0.567, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0029 (+/-0.51%) up or down from last closing price. If NZD/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.564 (0.27%) than the resistance at $0.574 (1.51%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is NZD/USD currency pair A Buy?
NZD/USD holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.257
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $0.566 ( 0.0165%).
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NZDUSD Performance
Trading levels for NZDUSD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.567 | 0.107% |
| R2 | 0.566 | 0.0599% |
| R1 | 0.566 | 0.0308% |
| Price | 0.566 | |
| S1 | 0.566 | -0.0637% |
| S2 | 0.565 | -0.0929% |
| S3 | 0.565 | -0.140% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.588 | 3.93% |
| R2 | 0.577 | 1.90% |
| R1 | 0.574 | 1.51% |
| Price | 0.566 | |
| S1 | 0.564 | -0.265% |
| S2 | 0.564 | -0.307% |
| S3 | 0.563 | -0.555% |
FAQ
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