OrganiGram Holdings Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Monday for OrganiGram Holdings Inc.
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The OrganiGram Holdings Inc. stock price fell by -1.49% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from $2.02 to $1.99. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.57% from a day low at $1.96 to a day high of $2.03. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 5.85% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 530 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.05 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.65% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.56 and $2.30 at the end of this 3-month period.
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OGI Signals & Forecast
The OrganiGram Holdings Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $1.92 and $1.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, May 08, 2024, and so far it has risen 13.07%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for OrganiGram Holdings Inc. stock
OrganiGram Holdings Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $1.93 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0699 between high and low, or 3.57%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.10%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.90 (-4.59%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect OrganiGram Holdings Inc. to open at $1.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.85 and $2.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.138 (+/-6.94%) up or down from last closing price. If OrganiGram Holdings Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.93 (3.02%) than the resistance at $2.12 (6.53%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is OrganiGram Holdings Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.296 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for OrganiGram Holdings Inc. of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$1.99 ( 0.166%) | $1.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.06 | 3.68 % | |
R2 | 2.04 | 2.34 % | ||
R1 | 2.02 | 1.51 % | ||
Current price: | 1.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.97 | -1.18 % | |
S2 | 1.95 | -2.00 % | ||
S3 | 1.92 | -3.35 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.30 | 15.33 % | |
R2 | 2.29 | 15.08 % | ||
R1 | 2.12 | 6.53 % | ||
Current price | 1.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.93 | -3.02% | |
S2 | 1.92 | -3.77% | ||
S3 | 1.88 | -5.53% |
FAQ
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