Old Mutual Ltd. Stock Forecast
Old Mutual Ltd. stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Old Mutual Ltd. stock price gained 0.105% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from £47.45 to £47.50. It has now gained 7 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.10% from a day low at £47.04 to a day high of £48.50. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 182 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £8.66 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £47.53 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £37.11 and £42.09 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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OMU.L Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Old Mutual Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £46.00 and £46.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has risen 11.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Old Mutual Ltd. stock
Old Mutual Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at £46.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £1.46 between high and low, or 3.10%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.01%.
Since the Old Mutual Ltd. has been rising for 7 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: £45.68 (-3.84%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OMU.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Old Mutual Ltd. to open at £47.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £45.64 and £49.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£1.86 (+/-3.91%) up or down from last closing price. If Old Mutual Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £46.40 (2.32%) than the resistance at £50.00 (5.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Old Mutual Ltd. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.376 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Old Mutual Ltd. of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £47.68 ( 0.379%) | £47.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OMU.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 49.14 | 3.45 % | |
| R2 | 48.58 | 2.28 % | ||
| R1 | 48.24 | 1.55 % | ||
| Current price: | 47.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 47.12 | -0.795 % | |
| S2 | 46.78 | -1.52 % | ||
| S3 | 46.22 | -2.69 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 51.10 | 7.58 % | |
| R2 | 50.90 | 7.16 % | ||
| R1 | 50.00 | 5.26 % | ||
| Current price | 47.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 46.40 | -2.32% | |
| S2 | 46.00 | -3.16% | ||
| S3 | 42.65 | -10.21% |
OMU Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 18, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | Apr 22, 2024 | £2.04 | 4.73% |
| 2 | Apr 17, 2024 | Apr 17, 2024 | Apr 22, 2024 | £2.03 | 4.71% |
| 3 | Oct 19, 2023 | Oct 19, 2023 | Oct 19, 2023 | £1.38 | 2.68% |
| 4 | Apr 13, 2023 | Apr 13, 2023 | Apr 13, 2023 | £2.27 | 4.54% |
| 5 | Aug 30, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | Oct 17, 2022 | £1.25 | 2.54% |
FAQ
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