Old Republic International Corporation Stock Forecast
Old Republic International Corporation stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Old Republic International Corporation stock price gained 0.492% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $30.51 to $30.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.77% from a day low at $30.23 to a day high of $30.77. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.34% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -33 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.51 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $30.19 and $33.54 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ORI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Old Republic International Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $30.76 and $30.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Old Republic International Corporation stock
Old Republic International Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $30.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.535 between high and low, or 1.77%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $29.23 (-4.68%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 30 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ORI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Old Republic International Corporation to open at $30.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.21 and $31.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.448 (+/-1.46%) up or down from last closing price. If Old Republic International Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $30.76 (0.33%) than the support at $30.30 (1.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Old Republic International Corporation stock A Buy?
Old Republic International Corporation holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.199 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Old Republic International Corporation of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $30.55 ( 0.353%) | $30.66 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ORI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.09 | 1.39% |
| R2 | 30.88 | 0.725% |
| R1 | 30.76 | 0.313% |
| Price | 30.66 | |
| S1 | 30.35 | -1.02% |
| S2 | 30.22 | -1.43% |
| S3 | 30.02 | -2.10% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.08 | 1.37% |
| R2 | 30.87 | 0.685% |
| R1 | 30.76 | 0.326% |
| Price | 30.66 | |
| S1 | 30.30 | -1.17% |
| S2 | 30.02 | -2.09% |
| S3 | 28.64 | -6.59% |
ORI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 17, 2024 | Jun 04, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | $0.265 | 0.89% |
| 2 | May 17, 2024 | Jun 03, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | $0.265 | 0.89% |
| 3 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.265 | 0.89% |
| 4 | Dec 04, 2023 | Dec 04, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.245 | 0.85% |
| 5 | Aug 25, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $0.250 | 0.91% |
FAQ
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