Norbord Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Norbord Inc stock price ended at £418.40 on Monday, after gaining 3.56%.
(Updated on Apr 29, 2024)
The Norbord Inc stock price gained 3.56% on the last trading day (Monday, 29th Apr 2024), rising from £404.00 to £418.40. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.76% from a day low at £395.60 to a day high of £418.40. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.45% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -667 thousand shares and in total, 540 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £225.97 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £429.33 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £292.24 and £368.95 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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OSB.L Signals & Forecast
The Norbord Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £394.77 and £390.18. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.81%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Norbord Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £388.40 and £387.20. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Norbord Inc finds support just below today's level at £388.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £387.20 and £378.60.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £22.80 between high and low, or 5.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.15%.
Since the Norbord Inc has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. As we cannot be certain with regards to the size of the reaction, we urge caution.
Our recommended stop-loss: £403.02 (-3.68%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OSB.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Norbord Inc to open at £410.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £402.76 and £434.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£15.64 (+/-3.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Norbord Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £423.80 (1.29%) than the support at £388.40 (7.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Norbord Inc stock A Buy?
Norbord Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Norbord Inc of Tuesday, April 30, 2024
| Fair opening price April 30, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £410.80 ( 1.82%) | £418.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OSB.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 433.60 | 3.63 % | |
| R2 | 424.89 | 1.55 % | ||
| R1 | 419.51 | 0.265 % | ||
| Current price: | 418.40 | |||
| Support | S1 | 402.09 | -3.90 % | |
| S2 | 396.71 | -5.18 % | ||
| S3 | 388.00 | -7.27 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 450.20 | 7.60 % | |
| R2 | 426.40 | 1.91 % | ||
| R1 | 423.80 | 1.29 % | ||
| Current price | 418.40 | |||
| Support | S1 | 388.40 | -7.17% | |
| S2 | 387.20 | -7.46% | ||
| S3 | 378.60 | -9.51% |
OSB Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | May 14, 2024 | £21.80 | 5.25% |
| 2 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | £11.70 | 2.50% |
| 3 | Aug 11, 2022 | Aug 25, 2022 | Sep 21, 2022 | £8.70 | 1.64% |
| 4 | Mar 17, 2022 | Mar 24, 2022 | May 18, 2022 | £21.10 | 4.08% |
| 5 | Aug 19, 2021 | Aug 26, 2021 | Sep 22, 2021 | £4.90 | 0.99% |
FAQ
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