Old Second Bancorp Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Old Second Bancorp stock price fell by -4.18% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $18.44 to $17.67. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.50% from a day low at $17.65 to a day high of $18.45. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.83% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -80 thousand shares and in total, 199 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.52 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Old Second Bancorp stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $16.67 and $18.71 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

OSBC Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Old Second Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.29 and $17.85. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.05%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Old Second Bancorp stock

Old Second Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $17.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.795 between high and low, or 4.50%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.46%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (OSBC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Old Second Bancorp to open at $17.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.43 and $17.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.483 (+/-2.77%) up or down from last closing price. If Old Second Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $17.61 (0.34%) than the resistance at $17.86 (1.08%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Old Second Bancorp stock A Buy?

Old Second Bancorp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.897 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $17.92 ( 1.42%).

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