Overseas Shipholding Group Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Overseas Shipholding Group stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Overseas Shipholding Group stock price fell by -0.495% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $6.06 to $6.03. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.83% from a day low at $6.03 to a day high of $6.08. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.01% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -48 thousand shares and in total, 148 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $894.10 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.76 and $6.28 at the end of this 3-month period.
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OSG Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.69%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Overseas Shipholding Group stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.03 and $6.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Overseas Shipholding Group stock
Overseas Shipholding Group finds support from accumulated volume at $6.02 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0500 between high and low, or 0.83%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (OSG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Overseas Shipholding Group to open at $6.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.89 and $6.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.143 (+/-2.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Overseas Shipholding Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $6.04 (0.17%) than the support at $6.02 (0.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Overseas Shipholding Group stock A Buy?
Overseas Shipholding Group holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.313 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Overseas Shipholding Group of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $6.05 ( 0.276%) | $6.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OSG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.10 | 1.11 % | |
| R2 | 6.08 | 0.789 % | ||
| R1 | 6.07 | 0.593 % | ||
| Current price: | 6.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.03 | -0.0404 % | |
| S2 | 6.02 | -0.236 % | ||
| S3 | 6.00 | -0.553 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 6.43 | 6.63 % | |
| R2 | 6.10 | 1.16 % | ||
| R1 | 6.04 | 0.166 % | ||
| Current price | 6.03 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.02 | -0.166% | |
| S2 | 6.01 | -0.332% | ||
| S3 | 5.97 | -1.00% |
OSG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.98% |
| 2 | Dec 06, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 04, 2024 | $0.0600 | 1.16% |
| 3 | Mar 01, 2016 | Mar 16, 2016 | Mar 25, 2016 | $0.480 | 11.62% |
FAQ
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