Open Text Corporation Stock Forecast
Green day on Wednesday for Open Text Corporation stock after gaining 0.113%
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Open Text Corporation stock price gained 0.113% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $35.31 to $35.35. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.77% from a day low at $35.00 to a day high of $35.97. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.17% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -209 thousand shares and in total, 641 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.65 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.86% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $28.76 and $32.05 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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OTEX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.55%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Open Text Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $35.67 and $37.09. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Open Text Corporation stock
Open Text Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $35.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.97 between high and low, or 2.77%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.28%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (OTEX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Open Text Corporation to open at $35.44, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.56 and $36.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.787 (+/-2.23%) up or down from last closing price. If Open Text Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $35.31 (0.11%) than the resistance at $36.02 (1.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Open Text Corporation will release earnings AMC on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.94. We will update the financials statements for Open Text Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.99% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Open Text Corporation stock A Buy?
Open Text Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.416 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Open Text Corporation of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $35.44 ( 0.255%) | $35.35 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OTEX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 36.41 | 3.00 % | |
| R2 | 36.04 | 1.95 % | ||
| R1 | 35.81 | 1.30 % | ||
| Current price: | 35.35 | |||
| Support | S1 | 35.07 | -0.794 % | |
| S2 | 34.84 | -1.44 % | ||
| S3 | 34.47 | -2.49 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 43.07 | 21.84 % | |
| R2 | 38.46 | 8.80 % | ||
| R1 | 36.02 | 1.90 % | ||
| Current price | 35.35 | |||
| Support | S1 | 35.31 | -0.113% | |
| S2 | 35.05 | -0.85% | ||
| S3 | 34.72 | -1.78% |
OTEX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.250 | 0.636% |
| 2 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.250 | 0.610% |
| 3 | Aug 02, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | $0.250 | 0.702% |
| 4 | May 02, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.243 | 0.606% |
| 5 | Feb 01, 2023 | Mar 02, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.243 | 0.653% |
FAQ
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