POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC stock price fell by -1.62% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from £24.70 to £24.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.26% from a day low at £23.75 to a day high of £25.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.89% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 8 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £222.63 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at £23.98 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 47.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £35.36 and £38.44 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PAF.L Signals & Forecast
The POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £24.47. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £22.85. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.26%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £22.05 and £21.90. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC finds support just below today's level at £22.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £21.90 and £20.80.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £1.25 between high and low, or 5.26%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £23.13 (-4.83%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PAF.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN PORTFOLIO to open at £24.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £23.17 and £25.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£1.13 (+/-4.64%) up or down from last closing price. If POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN PORTFOLIO takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £24.40 (0.41%) than the support at £22.05 (9.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN PORTFOLIO stock A Buy?
POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.454 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for POWERSHARES FTSE RAFI ASIA PACIFIC EX-JAPAN PORTFOLIO of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £24.35 ( 0.206%) | £24.30 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PAF.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 25.60 | 5.35 % | |
| R2 | 25.12 | 3.38 % | ||
| R1 | 24.83 | 2.17 % | ||
| Current price: | 24.30 | |||
| Support | S1 | 23.87 | -1.76 % | |
| S2 | 23.58 | -2.97 % | ||
| S3 | 23.10 | -4.94 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 25.65 | 5.56 % | |
| R2 | 24.60 | 1.23 % | ||
| R1 | 24.40 | 0.412 % | ||
| Current price | 24.30 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.05 | -9.26% | |
| S2 | 21.90 | -9.88% | ||
| S3 | 20.80 | -14.40% |
PAF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 14, 2022 | Dec 01, 2022 | Dec 13, 2022 | £0.87 | 5.04% |
| 2 | Sep 15, 2021 | Dec 02, 2021 | Dec 14, 2021 | £0.85 | 5.31% |
| 3 | Sep 16, 2020 | Dec 03, 2020 | Dec 15, 2020 | £0.689 | 3.13% |
| 4 | Sep 18, 2019 | Dec 12, 2019 | Dec 30, 2019 | £0.117 | 1.02% |
| 5 | Sep 20, 2017 | Dec 07, 2017 | Dec 21, 2017 | £0.447 | 3.14% |
FAQ
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