Penske Automotive Group, Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Penske Automotive Group, Inc stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Penske Automotive Group, Inc stock price fell by -0.769% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from £715.50 to £710.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.90% from a day low at £706.50 to a day high of £727.00. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.72% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 13 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 317 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £225.17 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at £716.55 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.86% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £744.77 and £787.20 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PAG.L Signals & Forecast
The Penske Automotive Group, Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £705.14 and £682.99. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.769%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Penske Automotive Group, Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £671.50 and £644.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Penske Automotive Group, Inc finds support just below today's level at £671.50. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £644.00 and £637.00.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved £20.50 (2.90%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £687.90 (-3.11%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (PAG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Penske Automotive Group, Inc to open at £714.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £689.54 and £730.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£20.46 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Penske Automotive Group, Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £715.00 (0.70%) than the support at £671.50 (5.42%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Penske Automotive Group, Inc stock A Buy?
Penske Automotive Group, Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.950 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Penske Automotive Group, Inc of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £714.50 ( 0.634%) | £710.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PAG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 735.00 | 3.52 % | |
| R2 | 727.17 | 2.42 % | ||
| R1 | 722.33 | 1.74 % | ||
| Current price: | 710.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 706.67 | -0.469 % | |
| S2 | 701.83 | -1.15 % | ||
| S3 | 694.00 | -2.25 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 715.50 | 0.775 % | ||
| R1 | 715.00 | 0.704 % | ||
| Current price | 710.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 671.50 | -5.42% | |
| S2 | 644.00 | -9.30% | ||
| S3 | 637.00 | -10.28% |
PAG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | £0 | 0% |
| 2 | Jul 06, 2023 | Jul 06, 2023 | Jul 06, 2023 | £11.00 | 2.16% |
| 3 | Dec 06, 2022 | Feb 02, 2023 | Mar 03, 2023 | £19.20 | 3.21% |
| 4 | Jun 14, 2022 | Jul 07, 2022 | Jul 29, 2022 | £9.40 | 1.76% |
| 5 | Dec 07, 2021 | Jan 27, 2022 | Mar 04, 2022 | £18.90 | 4.27% |
FAQ
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