- Beat earnings estimates in all of the last 4 quarters
- Healthy interest coverage ratio of 4,299.3x
- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 5.72)
Weaker technical forecast for PulteGroup Inc as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The PulteGroup Inc stock price fell by -2.28% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $129.02 to $126.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.95% from a day low at $125.36 to a day high of $131.56. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -5.68% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -633 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $150.20 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.66% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $125.94 and $150.80 at the end of this 3-month period.
PHM Signals & Forecast
The PulteGroup Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $125.32 and $125.49. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.60%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 10, 2026 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 10, 2026 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PulteGroup Inc stock
PulteGroup Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $120.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $6.21 between high and low, or 4.95%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (PHM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect PulteGroup Inc to open at $127.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $124.05 and $128.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.05 (+/-3.27%) up or down from last closing price. If PulteGroup Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $126.96 (0.70%) than the support at $120.10 (4.74%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
PulteGroup Inc will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.38. We will update the financials statements for PulteGroup Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.06% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is PulteGroup Inc stock A Buy?
PulteGroup Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.867
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $127.67 ( 1.26%).
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PHM Performance
Trading levels for PHM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 133.87 | 6.18% |
| R2 | 131.50 | 4.30% |
| R1 | 130.04 | 3.14% |
| Price | 126.08 | |
| S1 | 125.29 | -0.623% |
| S2 | 123.83 | -1.78% |
| S3 | 121.46 | -3.66% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 135.71 | 7.64% |
| R2 | 127.56 | 1.17% |
| R1 | 126.96 | 0.698% |
| Price | 126.08 | |
| S1 | 120.10 | -4.74% |
| S2 | 112.97 | -10.40% |
| S3 | 110.11 | -12.67% |
PHM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 29, 2026 | Jun 16, 2026 | Jul 02, 2026 | $0.260 | 0.226% |
| 2 | Feb 04, 2026 | Mar 17, 2026 | Apr 02, 2026 | $0.260 | 0.196% |
| 3 | Nov 19, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Jan 06, 2026 | $0.260 | 0.216% |
| 4 | Sep 16, 2025 | Sep 16, 2025 | Oct 02, 2025 | $0.220 | 0.160% |
| 5 | May 01, 2025 | Jun 17, 2025 | Jul 02, 2025 | $0.220 | 0.217% |
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