Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Stock Forecast
Green day on Wednesday for Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka
(Updated on Jun 19, 2024)
The Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka stock price gained 1.99% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 19th Jun 2024), rising from 64.37zł to 65.65zł. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.02% from a day low at 64.50zł to a day high of 65.80zł. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.81% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -652 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately 87.98zł million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 60.58zł and 70.52zł at the end of this 3-month period.
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PKN.WA Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 13, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.46%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 66.24zł. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at 63.56zł. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka stock
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka finds support from accumulated volume at 65.19zł and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 1.30zł between high and low, or 2.02%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (PKN.WA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 20th we expect Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna to open at 65.32zł, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 64.21zł and 67.09zł, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-1.44zł (+/-2.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.39% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 65.19zł (0.70%) than the resistance at 66.18zł (0.81%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna stock A Buy?
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.306 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna of Thursday, June 20, 2024
Fair opening price June 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
65.32zł ( 0.508%) | 65.65zł |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PKN.WA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 66.62 | 1.47% |
R2 | 66.12 | 0.716% |
R1 | 65.81 | 0.249% |
Price | 65.65 | |
S1 | 64.82 | -1.26% |
S2 | 64.51 | -1.73% |
S3 | 64.02 | -2.49% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 69.12 | 5.29% |
R2 | 66.93 | 1.95% |
R1 | 66.18 | 0.81% |
Price | 65.65 | |
S1 | 65.19 | -0.701% |
S2 | 63.57 | -3.17% |
S3 | 63.25 | -3.66% |
PKN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 19, 2024 | Sep 19, 2024 | Dec 20, 2024 | 4.15zł | 6.32% |
2 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | 5.50zł | 8.48% |
3 | Aug 09, 2022 | Aug 09, 2022 | Aug 09, 2022 | 3.50zł | 4.97% |
4 | Jul 26, 2022 | Jul 26, 2022 | Jul 26, 2022 | 3.50zł | 4.70% |
5 | Jul 21, 2021 | Jul 21, 2021 | Jul 21, 2021 | 3.50zł | 4.97% |
FAQ
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