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Evaluation of Pkp Cargo S.A. stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Nov 18, 2025)
The Pkp Cargo S.A. stock price fell by -3.57% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from 15.68zł to 15.12zł. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.84% from a day low at 15.12zł to a day high of 15.55zł. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.85% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 43 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 81 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 1.22zł million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.10% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 14.80zł and 16.88zł at the end of this 3-month period.
PKP.WA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Pkp Cargo S.A. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 15.58zł and 16.33zł. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 01, 2025, and so far it has fallen -13.25%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Pkp Cargo S.A. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pkp Cargo S.A. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 0.430zł (2.84%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.21%.
Pkp Cargo S.A. is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (PKP.WA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Pkp Cargo S.A. to open at 15.26zł, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 14.95zł and 15.29zł, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.346zł (+/-2.32%) up or down from last closing price. If Pkp Cargo S.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ 16.37zł, some 1.25zł (8.27%) from the current price of 15.12zł, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Pkp Cargo S.A. stock A Buy?
Pkp Cargo S.A. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.973
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - 15.26zł ( 0.95%).
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PKP.WA Performance
Trading levels for PKP.WA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 15.69 | 3.79% |
| R2 | 15.53 | 2.71% |
| R1 | 15.43 | 2.03% |
| Price | 15.12 | |
| S1 | 15.10 | -0.138% |
| S2 | 15.00 | -0.81% |
| S3 | 14.83 | -1.90% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 17.43 | 15.28% |
| R2 | 16.48 | 8.99% |
| R1 | 16.37 | 8.27% |
| Price | 15.12 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
PKP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 02, 2019 | Jul 02, 2019 | Jul 02, 2019 | 1.50zł | 3.57% |
| 2 | Jun 12, 2015 | Jun 12, 2015 | Jun 12, 2015 | 2.46zł | 2.89% |
| 3 | May 16, 2014 | May 16, 2014 | May 16, 2014 | 3.07zł | 3.89% |
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