RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of PROV
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Provident Financial Holdings stock price ended at $12.38 on Monday, after losing 4.03%.
(Updated on Apr 29, 2024)

Sell candidate since Apr 25, 2024 Loss -4.25% PDF

The Provident Financial Holdings stock price fell by -4.03% on the last day (Monday, 29th Apr 2024) from $12.90 to $12.38. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.26% from a day low at $12.36 to a day high of $13.01. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.96% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 18 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $221.03 thousand.

The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($12.77) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $12.12 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.

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PROV Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Provident Financial Holdings stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $12.95 and $13.55. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -10.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Provident Financial Holdings gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Provident Financial Holdings stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.650 (5.26%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.04%.

Provident Financial Holdings is oversold on RSI14 (7). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (PROV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Provident Financial Holdings to open at $12.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.08 and $12.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.303 (+/-2.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Provident Financial Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $13.69, some $1.31 (10.58%) from the current price of $12.38, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Provident Financial Holdings stock A Buy?

Provident Financial Holdings holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.743 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Provident Financial Holdings of Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Fair opening price April 30, 2024 Current price
$12.58 ( 1.64%) $12.38

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for PROV

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 13.23 6.89 %
R2 12.99 4.89 %
R1 12.83 3.65 %
Current price: 12.38
Support S1 12.34 -0.363 %
S2 12.18 -1.60 %
S3 11.93 -3.61 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 14.25 15.11 %
R2 13.97 12.84 %
R1 13.69 10.58 %
Current price 12.38
Support S1 0 .
S2 0 .
S3 0 .

PROV Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Apr 25, 2024 May 15, 2024 Jun 06, 2024 $0.140 1.13%
2 Jan 25, 2024 Feb 14, 2024 Mar 07, 2024 $0.140 1.00%
3 Oct 26, 2023 Nov 15, 2023 Dec 07, 2023 $0.140 1.21%
4 Jul 27, 2023 Aug 16, 2023 Sep 07, 2023 $0.140 1.08%
5 Apr 27, 2023 May 17, 2023 Sep 07, 2023 $0.140 1.08%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Provident Financial Holdings Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Provident Financial Holdings is PROV and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Provident Financial Holdings Stock?
Provident Financial Holdings holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

How to buy Provident Financial Holdings Stock?
Provident Financial Holdings Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Provident Financial Holdings Stock.

What's the current price of Provident Financial Holdings Stock?
As of the end of day on the Apr 29, 2024, the price of an Provident Financial Holdings (PROV) share was $12.38.

What is the 52-week high and low for Provident Financial Holdings Stock?
The 52-week high for Provident Financial Holdings Stock is $15.39 and the 52-week low is $10.16.

What is the market capitalization of Provident Financial Holdings Stock?
As of the Apr 29, 2024, the market capitalization of Provident Financial Holdings is 85.753M.

When is the next earnings date for Provident Financial Holdings?
The upcoming earnings date for Provident Financial Holdings is Jul 24, 2024.
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About Provident Financial Holdings

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. that provides community banking services to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. Its deposit products include checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as time deposits; and loan portfolio consists of single-family, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, mortgage,... PROV Profile

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