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Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF price fell by -1.50% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $290.68 to $286.31. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.25% from a day low at $282.77 to a day high of $289.14. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.42% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 580 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.04 billion.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 7.86% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $308.81 and $344.11 at the end of this 3-month period.
QQQM Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $294.06 and $297.29. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.81%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF
Invesco Nasdaq 100 finds support from accumulated volume at $286.12 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.37 between high and low, or 2.25%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (QQQM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF to open at $286.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $283.20 and $289.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.22 (+/-2.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $286.12 (0.07%) than the resistance at $290.35 (1.41%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF ETF A Buy?
The Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Invesco Nasdaq 100 will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.725
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $286.07 ( 0.0826%).
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QQQM Performance
Trading levels for QQQM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 292.44 | 2.14% |
| R2 | 290.01 | 1.29% |
| R1 | 288.51 | 0.767% |
| Price | 286.31 | |
| S1 | 283.64 | -0.93% |
| S2 | 282.14 | -1.46% |
| S3 | 279.70 | -2.31% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 291.52 | 1.82% |
| R2 | 291.14 | 1.69% |
| R1 | 290.35 | 1.41% |
| Price | 286.31 | |
| S1 | 286.12 | -0.0664% |
| S2 | 285.92 | -0.136% |
| S3 | 273.38 | -4.52% |
QQQM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 26, 2026 | $0.352 | 0.116% |
| 2 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 27, 2026 | $0.328 | 0.135% |
| 3 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 26, 2025 | $0.323 | 0.126% |
| 4 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 26, 2025 | $0.302 | 0.122% |
| 5 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 27, 2025 | $0.316 | 0.140% |
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