Rallis India Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
![Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 1](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight.gif?v=4acb9e3f64711d632b0cd32bad1a43b5bed911ae)
![Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 2](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight2.gif?v=4acb9e3f64711d632b0cd32bad1a43b5bed911ae)
![Bollinger Bottleneck Sell Pattern](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight3.gif?v=4acb9e3f64711d632b0cd32bad1a43b5bed911ae)
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Strong day for Rallis India Limited stock price on Wednesday rising 7.12% to ₹334.00
(Updated on Jul 03, 2024)
The Rallis India Limited stock price gained 7.12% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 3rd Jul 2024), rising from ₹311.80 to ₹334.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.74% from a day low at ₹312.50 to a day high of ₹339.80. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.83% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹1.27 billion.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at ₹346.92 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹318.68 and ₹407.35 at the end of this 3-month period.
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RALLIS.NS Signals & Forecast
The Rallis India Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹315.71 and ₹292.84. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Rallis India Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹317.05 and ₹313.25. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Rallis India Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹317.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹313.25 and ₹281.90.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹27.30 between high and low, or 8.74%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.28%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹321.11 (-3.86%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RALLIS.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Rallis India Limited to open at ₹328.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹320.60 and ₹347.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹13.40 (+/-4.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Rallis India Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹339.45 (1.63%) than the support at ₹317.05 (5.07%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Rallis India Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Rallis India Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 4.980 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Rallis India Limited of Thursday, July 4, 2024
Fair opening price July 4, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹328.77 ( 1.57%) | ₹334.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RALLIS.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 356.07 | 6.61% |
R2 | 345.64 | 3.48% |
R1 | 339.20 | 1.56% |
Price | 334.00 | |
S1 | 318.34 | -4.69% |
S2 | 311.90 | -6.62% |
S3 | 301.47 | -9.74% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 339.45 | 1.63% |
Price | 334.00 | |
S1 | 317.05 | -5.07% |
S2 | 313.25 | -6.21% |
S3 | 281.90 | -15.60% |
RALLIS Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 03, 2024 | Jun 03, 2024 | Jul 20, 2024 | ₹2.50 | 0.749% |
2 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | ₹2.50 | 1.31% |
3 | Jun 07, 2022 | Jun 07, 2022 | Jun 07, 2022 | ₹3.00 | 1.51% |
4 | Jun 06, 2022 | Jun 06, 2022 | Jun 06, 2022 | ₹3.00 | 1.50% |
5 | Jun 09, 2021 | Jun 09, 2021 | Jun 09, 2021 | ₹3.00 | 0.88% |
FAQ
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