AVITA Medical, Inc. Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for AVITA Medical, Inc. as stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The AVITA Medical, Inc. stock price fell by -3.15% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $8.57 to $8.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.24% from a day low at $8.01 to a day high of $8.35. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -19.81% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 98 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 245 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.03 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $8.12 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -38.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.01 and $8.00 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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RCEL Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The AVITA Medical, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $8.76 and $13.82. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, February 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -54.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AVITA Medical, Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.340 between high and low, or 4.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.64%.
AVITA Medical, Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (8). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (RCEL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect AVITA Medical, Inc. to open at $8.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.49 and $9.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.81 (+/-9.73%) up or down from last closing price. If AVITA Medical, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $8.55, some $0.250 (3.01%) from the current price of $8.30, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is AVITA Medical, Inc. stock A Buy?
AVITA Medical, Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.942 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AVITA Medical, Inc. of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.22 ( 0.96%) | $8.30 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RCEL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 8.56 | 3.13 % | |
| R2 | 8.43 | 1.57 % | ||
| R1 | 8.35 | 0.601 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.30 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.09 | -2.53 % | |
| S2 | 8.01 | -3.50 % | ||
| S3 | 7.88 | -5.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 10.35 | 24.70 % | |
| R2 | 9.88 | 19.04 % | ||
| R1 | 8.55 | 3.01 % | ||
| Current price | 8.30 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
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