- Strong return on equity of 41.2%
- Strong operating margin of 31.3%
- High gross margin of 73.5%
Weaker technical forecast for Roche Holding AG as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The Roche Holding AG stock price fell by -3.90% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $430.00 to $413.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.63% from a day low at $413.25 to a day high of $420.00. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.18% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 42 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 52 shares were bought and sold for approximately $21.49 thousand.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Roche Holding AG stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $397.67 and $440.24 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
RHHBF Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Roche Holding AG stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $422.03 and $418.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Roche Holding AG gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Roche Holding AG stock
Roche Holding AG finds support from accumulated volume at $409.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $6.76 between high and low, or 1.63%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.587%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (RHHBF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Roche Holding AG to open at $415.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $408.92 and $417.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.65 (+/-2.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Roche Holding AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $415.00 (0.42%) than the support at $409.00 (1.03%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Roche Holding AG stock A Buy?
Roche Holding AG holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.471
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $415.50 ( 0.545%).
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RHHBF Performance
Trading levels for RHHBF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 422.25 | 2.18% |
| R2 | 419.67 | 1.56% |
| R1 | 418.08 | 1.17% |
| Price | 413.25 | |
| S1 | 412.92 | -0.0796% |
| S2 | 411.32 | -0.465% |
| S3 | 408.74 | -1.09% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 418.50 | 1.27% |
| R2 | 417.00 | 0.91% |
| R1 | 415.00 | 0.425% |
| Price | 413.25 | |
| S1 | 409.00 | -1.03% |
| S2 | 407.00 | -1.51% |
| S3 | 404.00 | -2.24% |
RHHBF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 29, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | Mar 16, 2026 | $12.79 | 2.85% |
| 2 | Mar 12, 2026 | Mar 12, 2026 | Mar 16, 2026 | $12.82 | 2.91% |
| 3 | Jan 30, 2025 | Mar 28, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $10.97 | 3.06% |
| 4 | Mar 27, 2025 | Mar 27, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $10.66 | 2.97% |
| 5 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | $11.19 | 4.09% |
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