Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Rivian Automotive stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -31.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.63 and $7.76 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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RIVN Signals & Forecast
The Rivian Automotive stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $10.14. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $9.78. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 18.93%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Rivian Automotive stock
Rivian Automotive finds support from accumulated volume at $9.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.570 between high and low, or 5.79%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.34%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.46 (-5.32%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RIVN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Rivian Automotive, Inc. to open at $10.08, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.36 and $10.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.632 (+/-6.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Rivian Automotive, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.07 (0.80%) than the support at $9.57 (4.20%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. stock A Buy?
Rivian Automotive holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.877 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Rivian Automotive, Inc. of Monday, May 13, 2024
Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$10.08 ( 0.90%) | $9.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RIVN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 10.65 | 6.61 % | |
R2 | 10.43 | 4.43 % | ||
R1 | 10.30 | 3.08 % | ||
Current price: | 9.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 9.86 | -1.28 % | |
S2 | 9.73 | -2.63 % | ||
S3 | 9.51 | -4.80 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.45 | 14.61 % | |
R2 | 10.27 | 2.80 % | ||
R1 | 10.07 | 0.80 % | ||
Current price | 9.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 9.57 | -4.20% | |
S2 | 9.04 | -9.51% | ||
S3 | 8.40 | -15.92% |
FAQ
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