Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Rivian Automotive stock price on Monday moving 11.62% between high and low
(Updated on May 13, 2024)
The stockhas broken the very wide and falling short-term trend up. Firstly a slower falling rate is indicated, but this may very well be an early signal of a trend shift. On the reaction, there will be support on the roof of the current trend broken, which is $9.46, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $12.91 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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RIVN Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Rivian Automotive stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $10.29 and $9.78. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 29.76%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Rivian Automotive stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $10.27 and $10.25. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Rivian Automotive finds support just below today's level at $10.27. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $10.25 and $10.07.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.17 between high and low, or 11.62%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.84%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.29 (-5.60%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RIVN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Rivian Automotive, Inc. to open at $10.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.23 and $11.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.674 (+/-6.18%) up or down from last closing price. If Rivian Automotive, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $11.45 (5.05%) than the support at $10.27 (5.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and the break-up from the falling trend indicates a possible shift for a trend. We believe that the prices around the breaking point will indicate particularly good levels, but we also believe that the current level will hold a possible good buy level for the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.650 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Rivian Automotive, Inc. of Tuesday, May 14, 2024
| Fair opening price May 14, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.71 ( 1.79%) | $10.90 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RIVN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.87 | 8.90 % | |
| R2 | 11.42 | 4.82 % | ||
| R1 | 11.15 | 2.29 % | ||
| Current price: | 10.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.26 | -5.87 % | |
| S2 | 9.99 | -8.39 % | ||
| S3 | 9.54 | -12.48 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.78 | 17.25 % | |
| R2 | 12.51 | 14.77 % | ||
| R1 | 11.45 | 5.05 % | ||
| Current price | 10.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.27 | -5.78% | |
| S2 | 10.25 | -5.96% | ||
| S3 | 10.07 | -7.61% |
FAQ
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