Upm-kymmene Oyj Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock price fell by -1.54% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from 23.96€ to 23.59€. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at 23.59€ to a day high of 23.59€. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.9% gain for the last 2 weeks.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 22.35€ and 24.84€ at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

RPL.F Signals & Forecast

The UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately 23.84€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately 23.05€. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.79%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock

UPM-Kymmene Oyj finds support from accumulated volume at 23.53€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved 0€ between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.33%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (RPL.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect UPM-Kymmene Oyj to open at 23.59€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 23.41€ and 23.77€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.366€ (+/-1.56%) up or down from last closing price. If UPM-Kymmene Oyj takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 23.53€ (0.25%) than the resistance at 23.96€ (1.57%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj stock A Buy?

UPM-Kymmene Oyj holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.941 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 23.59€ ( 0%).

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